Starting out this morning, I had a little more than 200 miles to go to finish my hike. After a modest climb to the top of Little Bigelow Mountain, which is 3,025 feet in elevation, there will be only one more mountain above 3,000 feet until I reach Mt. Katahdin.
Nearly all of the most challenging parts of Maine are completed, but I still know it's unwise of me to think a successful finish is assured.
Just the other day I learned that RedEye injured herself in Maine and had to get off the trail. Bluestem had to skip a large section of the trail after he hurt his knee.
These are just a couple examples of people I thought for sure would complete their thru-hikes, yet couldn't. Overall, just 20 to 25 percent of thru-hikers finish each year.
I don’t know why some people are able to finish when others aren’t.
All I know is I feel more confident than ever I will finish. I’ve always had a lot of confidence, though. And I’ve also carried with that a small measure of practical insecurity.
As I left Safford Notch Campsite, I passed through the same narrow opening between the giant boulders that I had difficulty finding last night. Because of the way the side trail to the campsie snaked around and through the boulders, I saw more clearly why I had trouble.
Later, when I made my way back to the AT, I saw a sign that pointed to the side trail for the campsite. I failed to see that last night.
As I looked around, I was even more surprised that I correctly made the turn to the campsite in the dark.
Along the way, I noticed some surveyor tape left by a trail maintainer. A note was written on it about work that needed to be done to redirect water runoff. It borrowed a phrase from the 2016 election campaign, and I laughed when I saw it. “Drain this swamp,” it said.
Across the top of the mountain there were several viewpoints, but most only provided partial views because Little Bigelow didn’t rise above the treeline.
At one viewpoint I was able to look back to Avery Peak, where I stood yesterday to enjoy wonderful views.
I also got a glimpse again of Flagstaff Lake. I knew the trail would soon lead me past its shore.
One of the best views from Little Bigelow was a little farther down the trail, where a rock ledge opened to a wide valley.
As I made my way down from the mountain I saw Frodo and Gimli. Samwise passed me later on.
When I reached the lake I stayed several minutes to enjoy the view. The water was a deep blue that nearly matched the color of the clear sky.
From here, I had just six miles to go to reach West Carry Pond Lean-to, the spot where Stick, Tengo and I agreed to stop for the night.
If the trail had been as nice as it had been on the way to the lake, I could have easily reached the shelter in under three hours. The trail, however, was more challenging than I expected.
It included a deceivingly long climb up and over Roundtop Mountain. It was just under 2,000 feet in elevation, so I didn’t pay much attention to it when I had scanned my trail guide app.
The trail on the descent was covered in rocks and roots. By the time I reached the shelter just before 6 p.m. I was worn out. Nevertheless, I was glad to get there before dark.
As of today, I have walked more than 2,000 miles. If I thought I should be able to predict by now what the trail will be like or how I will handle it, this was one more proof that I can’t.
Is there is such a thing as fate or destiny or luck? I don’t know. Is that why I made a turn to the campsite last night in the dark, without seeing the sign that pointed the way? Is that why I’m still hiking while many others have had to quit?
I’m not inclined to believe life is controlled by fate or destiny or luck. All I know for sure is the trail is unpredictable and it can’t be taken for granted.